NFL Odds, Stats, and Picks for Week 4

Here are the odds for this week’s games. All odds are from oddsmaker.com. Stats and picks after the break.

NY Jets -1.5 at Miami +1.5 (London) O/U 41.5
Jacksonville +9 at Indianapolis -9 O/U 48
Houston +6.5 at Atlanta O/U 47
Carolina -3 at Tampa Bay +3 O/U 40

NY Giants +6 at Buffalo -6 O/U 47
Oakland -3 at Chicago +3 O/U 44.5
Philadelphia -3 at Washington +3 O/U 47
Kansas City +3.5 at Cincinnati +3.5 O/U 44
Cleveland +8 at San Diego -8 O/U 45
Green Bay -8.5 at San Francisco +8.5 O/U 48
Minnesota +7 at Denver -7 O/U 42.5
St. Louis +7 at Arizona -7 O/U 42.5
Dallas +7 at New Orleans -7 Line currently closed
Detroit +10 at Seattle -10 O/U 43

Cover Streaks:

Arizona; 3 straight
Carolina; 3 straight
Cincinnati; 3 straight
Atlanta; 3 straight
Denver; 3 straight
Green Bay; 3 straight
Minnesota; 2 straight
Oakland; 2 straight
New England; 2 straight

Chicago; missed 3 straight
New Orleans; missed 3 straight
Detroit; missed 3 straight
Indy; missed 3 straight
San Fran; missed 2 straight
San Diego; missed 2 straight
Miami; missed 2 straight
St. Louis; missed 2 straight
Kansas City; missed 2 straight

Season Stats: (All records are AGAINST THE SPREAD)

Home teams are 26-22; 54%
Away teams are 22-26; 46%
Home Underdogs are 9-9; 50%
Home Favorites are 17-12-1; 57%
Away Underdogs are 12-17-1; 43%
Away Favorites are 9-9; 50%
Double Digit Favorites are 2-1; 66%
Double Digit Underdogs are 1-2; 33%
The Over is 29-19; 60%
The Under is 19-29; 40%
Average Total Game Score is 47.4 points

Game Point Totals:

0-29 points: 7
30-39 points: 4
40-49 points: 16
50-59 points: 12
60-69 points: 6
70+ points: 3

*If you had used the average total game score last week to bet the over/under on every game, you would have went 10-6*

Picks:

Last week: 1-1; 50%
Season: 5-1; 83%
Teasers: 2-1; 66%
Single games: 3-0; 100%

This week, I like the following 7-point, 3-team teaser: 2 Units
Green Bay teased down to -1.5
Minnesota teased up to +14
Arizona teased down to just win the game

And a 7-point, 3-team teaser on the O/U: 2 Units
Car/TB OVER 33
Min/Den OVER 35.5
St. L/Ari OVER 33.5

I also like the following single games:
Philly -3; 1 unit
Carolina -3; 1 unit
Seattle -10; 1 unit

So that’s five picks for this week for me. What teams are you taking this week?